Osama dead, Whats Next?

Osama Bin Laden murdered by USA navy seals in Pakistani city of Obbattabad, one hour drive from Pakistan capital Islamabad and 10 mins walk from Pakistan Military academy. This event is mere a facades to a great military and political drama that is still behind the banner.

Killing of Osama is a great milestone for America in its war against terror. Last ten to fifteen years America has constantly been on war. Every president since then has wedged war on Middle East. Clinton attacked Iraq for hiding chemical weapons in 1997. George W Bush wedged war, Crusade, against Afghanistan to avenge the 9/11 attack in 2001. Recently in Barack Obama intervened in Libya under the name of peace keeping in 2011. These wars have been a part of American society from past decades and have affected them in deep.

American hunger for war is purely because of its weapon business. Each war has given the world a peep through in to the future of military technology. More agile planes, stronger tanks, accurate missiles, deadly guns, night visions, surveillance gadgets, warships, submarines, intercontinental missiles, cruise missiles. Americans sell all these products and as a marketing strategy they have to demonstrate their performance through actual field experience. America cannot fight war on its land. It takes major portion of its continent and is neighbored by friendly Canada. Middle African terrain is not suitable for American heavy weight war gears. Europe, Australia, Russia and China are too powerful to play wars. So what remains as ideal place than Middle East to show off the military might?

Middle East is dangerously close to arch rival of weapons business Russia, Bordered by financial threat and country of world’s biggest army China. It’s vicinity with Europe can guaranty a safe retreat in allied countries, and strong reinforcements by NATO. Its deserted terrain and clear sky can be great advantage for heavy military gears and fighter jets. Hence what American has to do is to stage a war scenario and make the guns perform.

Apart from marketing weapons, Wars in Middle East give America a greater political advantage. Just like war in Vietnam was fought when Japan was emerging and threatening US’s economic monotony. America wants her army near threatening China and Russia. Military invasion in Pakistani land for killing Osama has now created a tussle between the US officials and Pakistani “Administration”. Now US can also wedge a war against Pakistan and move its army in to Pakistan so as to keep a constant pressure on countries like China and India. A move which can lead to more confrontations between USA and these emerging countries.

On the other hand, declaring world free of Osama Bin Laden can mean end of terrorism for ignorant American voters. The surge in Obama’s popularity is evident of the rise in in-land political power of Obama Administration and a nationwide acceptance of Obama policies. If he chooses to withdraw forces from Afghanistan and declares the closure of War against terrorism, that will mean the return of Army personals from battle field in another year and a welcoming rise in economy as a sweet gesture of end of war. That means by the end of his term Obama will be a favorite of American voters as he will be the president, who ended a decade long war, elevated the economy after recession and brought back the distant loved ones. It is a great political drama to secure another term in White House.

On an ending note, I feel this whole fiasco is leading a great rumble in the world politics which will now directly affect us Indians because of its geographical vicinity. I am not a foreign expert on these issues, but as a daily reader of News paper I am speculating what news may come in coming years. Those who may read it and find interesting please do reply. Expert comments are welcome!

War clouds over Mohali

India Pakistan are going to clash against each other in yet another epic battle of cricket world cup this Wednesday. This match is always considered more like a war than a simple sport. Cricket is a religion in Indian subcontinent. 3 out of 4 nations qualified for semis this year are from this region. India & Pakistan are two of them and only one will sail through into the finals. It’s an important match not only for players or for the cup but also for the emotions of more than one billion population of these two countries.

India & Pakistan have always been the rivals. Rivalry in politics, economics, development, international affairs, sports, defense almost everything. Its a quarrel began with the separation and seems like to be continuing ever since. Wars in 1965, 1971 & 1999 have clearly shown the tussle between the neighbors to the world. 2009 Attack on Mumbai was backed up by Pakistan. Back to back nuclear tests by India Pakistan in 1998 to prove each others capabilities. This all adds up to the extreme tension these two neighbors have since last 60 odd years.

And a religious cricket match is a medium to vent out that tension.

Cricket world cup is more than a cup for these two countries. Specially in India where players homes are set ablaze for an early exit out of 2007 world cup. And for Pakistan where national teams coach is killed for the similar reason in same year. In every match against each other these rival teams fight like a war. With near to killing instinct. Not only the players but also the cricket fanatics go as war against each other. Burning flags, shouting slogans, hitting each other during match. Every kind of commotion can be expected out of Indo-Pak game. And now once again for yet another time these two rivals meet each other on 22 yards battle field.
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What I personally feel that result of this game will not be decided by skills and tactics of players alone. Since we know that its more than just a game for people of two countries. The result of the match will also affect more than just players or world cup standings. So obviously the result will have stakes of more influential people, people who by moving strings from outside of the 55 yards circle can swing the result of the game. People who can cash in with the result of this high profile game. And people who by their political tactics prove their might in the world.

Major stake holders for the result will be bookies. India and Pakistan have considerable amount of representation in gulf countries. Countries where money and power has no limit. All this money from gulf circulates into the bating business. Millions of dollars flow into the system. Influence and power is used to fix the result of match. Many Indian and Pakistan players were involved and proved guilty in such cases. The result fixing or even the spot fixing give bookies golden opportunities to earn fortunes. A simple logic says that if Pakistan is a least favorite team to win the match then it will have a lesser value in bating and then if it wins it will surely give more money to the bookies. So there is a high chance of a minnow to win in a fight like this. That is why Ireland/B’desh wins were not as shocking as they seemed.

One more particular stake holder is Mr. Sharad Pawar the president of ICC this year. In Maharashtra politics Mr. Sharad pawar and Bal Thakre are similar to Indo-Pak. Bal Thakre a radical politician has announced that he will not let Pakistan to play in Mumbai. And now if Pakistan wins this match it will have to play Finals in Mumbai. Sharad Pawar who is chairman of International Cricket Council is responsible for smooth execution of tournament. So it’s actually a political tug of war between to senior politicians for whom to let play in Mumbai. If Sharad Pawar wants to keep good rapport with Thakre he should not let Pakistan win the match. And if he wants to show his might in international politics he can make Pakistan win and challenge Thakre for supremacy. Hence the result of match is more important for these two than anyone else.

Our beloved PM Mr. Manmohan Singh has asked Pakistan PM Gillani to come to India to witness this battle in Mohali. And moreover the invitation is accepted by Pakistan who was on no dialogue terms with India since the 26/11 attack. With 40k odd lunatics cricket fans present on Indian soil for greatest battle of cricketing world these two leaders of the fighting countries will witness it in the stadium itself. The swing in the dominance will make the crazy people in ground shout some indecent slogans and improper gestures towards them. I don’t know how they are preparing themselves for witnessing this crazy game of madness. Only if they know the result they can come upon a mutually agreeable condition.

Last but not the least (at least in numbers) are Indian cricket fans and Media. The pressure put through twitter and facebook is enormous. The confidence fans are showing upon their teams is extra ordinary. Over appreciations for win against Australia has raised the spirit of all Indians. And in all this commotion we are just forgetting the non sporting aspects of this game. Over commercialization of cricket via IPL has introduced a great amount of foul play into the game. It’s more fishy than it ever had. It’s not just a game this Wednesday that will be played, It’s a war. A commercial, Political and a Social war!!

Let Mohali be drenched in the rain of blows for this war. Till then let us prepare our shelters amidst the Clouds of War!

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This Post is absolutely unbiased. Forgive the grammar and spelling mistakes. No time for proofreading 😥